
Trump has given Iran ten days (Feb 17-28++) to make a deal or “bad things will happen. Though I am not 100 % certain, I believe Trump will not attack Iran for the following reasons:
Or, why Trump must NOT initiate an unjust war.
- It is an aggressive act of war with no casus belli. Only Congress has power to declare war and that must be with probable cause. Because Iran is no threat to the U.S. there is no just cause for war. In other words, the U.S. doesn’t have moral authority to strike Iran.
- Trump’s call for war is based on propaganda, lies, and fantasy; that Iran plans to attack the U.S. is nothing but hyperventilation by the president.
- The armada in the gulf is an unacceptable threat to the war powers act of the Constitution..
- This build up is not about nukes but a show of power by the U.S — an effort to show the world that you do not mess with the United States: Submit or be Squashed.
- If this is about regime change, the world will see that America is bully empire forcing its will on peaceful countries.
- While Iran has enriched uranium, there is no evidence they have or plan to make a bomb. Let’s not conflate enrichment of uranium with possessing a bomb. Moreover, Trump said in June 2025 that the U.S. “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear capacity. So, how can he attack again without losing credibility.
- Iran has not attacked the U.S. ever . . .that is, there is no just cause for a war against Iran regardless of what the Zionist smarties in D.C. say.
- Risks out weigh the gains. Low munitions vs. a fully equipped Iran.
- If the U.S. strikes Iran, Iran will give Israel a pounding from which they might never recover.
- Iran can not defeat the U.S.A. It doesn’t have to. All it has to do is show the U.S. that its not worth it to start a war. It doesn’t have to sink an aircraft carrier, it only has to damage it.
- The goal of a regime change is not very probable.
- If the Gulf of Hormuz or Gulf of closes, it will send the world into an economic-oil crisis.
- Gas prices could double around the world creating an economic meltdown globally.
- Global markets will wobble at best and crash at the worse.
- Trump has money in the stock market, he doesn’t want to lose. But, being a $ genius, he may be able to profit from a direct confrontation with Iran.
- American bases in the middle east will be attacked by Iran — billions of dollars will be lost,
- America only has about two weeks of munitions left for a war that could last months.
- Because surrounding nations in the gulf will not allow the U.S. to use their bases, American planes will have to fly hundreds of miles for a single sortes . . . be refueled twice in flight — a tremendous logistical problem for any military.
- Arab allies have reported they will not allow the U.S. to use their bases to attack Iran.
- Iran’s oil refineries will be destroyed and Iran will destroy all neighboring refineries for not opposing the U.S.
- The whole middle east is against this war. America and Israel will not survive this politically. Power projection will deflate like a punctured balloon.
- Down one F-35 and America’s reputation as a global air power tanks; defense stocks tank; confidence tanks.
- Damage one air craft carrier and the U.S. military will shudder; nations will shudder; and belief in U.S. superiority will hit bottom like a lead balloon.
- Israel could be totally annihilated.
- Israel could choose to use a nuclear bomb.
- Trust in America as a “good” nation will crumble.
- Mature Christians and Muslims will pray that God will expose / destroy Trump and Netanyahu.
- An all out war would drain U.S. missile supplies and put the U.S. in a world of hurt.
- An all attack would leave Iran in shambles — weaker and more defiant. Thus, this is a fight or die moment for Iran. It is a cornered tiger and it will not sit still. Thus, the winning strategy for Iran is just to outlast and endure U.S. abuse.
- With a Russian warship in the Indian ocean, an attack would demand a counter response by Russia
- With a Chinese vessel in the Indian ocean, an attack would demand a counter response by China.
- A war would end up costing the world trillions. The cost in terms of dollars and prestige is just too costly.
- Trump is not stupid — a bully yes, but suicidal, No!
- On February 11, Trump denied Netanyahu’s request and insisted on negotiations — a good move.
- Trump likes all the bluster and cave-man rain dances, but he has a pattern of backing down. It appears he will renidge again. But, I may be wrong.
- Trump could be impeached.
- Trump wants to win the midterms. A war would guarantee his defeat.
We are rushing foolishly into an Armageddon moment. For Israel, this is its last chance to crush Iran. They don’t want a deal and could initiate war.
Moreover, the military build up in the middle east is phenomenal and does not appear to be a big bluff. It is the biggest build up since the Iraq War in 2003. War could break out any moment.
- A deal could be made by Thursday February 26. My bet is that Trump will negotiate some kind of small concession and then claim a huge victory for U.S. and Israel. But, this may be wishful thinking. If Trump does back down, his own life could be in danger. The Yamaka people could order his assassination.
- Extended clock: no agreement, but not military action. Both sides find a way to informally continue talking.
- Risk of a military error that initiates a war.
What ever happens, the world will be a better place if Zionism with its blade hidden under velvet dies a quick death like a star collapsing into a cold, silent dwarf.
Lord, blessed be your name. Have mercy, and may your will be done.
Storm Brooks 2/23/2026
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